● Real ODFW data · via points xlsxmyodfw.com · species roster verified 2026 ↗
Oregon big game — real draw odds
Every nonresident elk and pronghorn controlled hunt in Oregon, straight from the applicant and drawn counts ODFW publishes. Oregon gives 75% of each hunt's tags to the highest point-holders and draws the last 25% randomly — so the all-applicants draw rate below is the honest signal.
SourceOregon Department of Fish and Wildlife · 2025 Elk/Pronghorn + 2026 Buck Deer Controlled Hunt Points Summaries
As of 2025-26 draws. Parsed from the published .xlsx; hunts mapped to WMUs via the FINAL 2024 harvest summaries.
nrOddsPct = NR drawn ÷ NR applicants per hunt. 75% of tags go to top point-holders, 25% draw randomly.
View ODFW hunt statistics ↗215
Elk hunts (NR)
126
≥25% NR odds
6
<5% (longshots)
How Oregon works
Preference points (75/25 split)
Oregon is a preference-point draw with a safety valve: 75% of each hunt's tags go to the applicants with the most points, but the last 25% draw randomly among everyone — so points rule, yet a 0-point hunter always has a real (small) shot.
Earning points
Earn one preference point per species each year you apply and don't draw your first choice (or buy a point-saver application).
myodfw.com · verified 2026 ↗Point-only application
Apply for hunt 777 (point saver) to bank a point without entering the draw.
myodfw.com · verified 2026 ↗The split
Points only count on your FIRST choice — second-choice draws don't use or burn points.
myodfw.com · verified 2026 ↗Losing points
Nonresidents compete in the same pool but are capped at a small share of tags in many hunts.
myodfw.com · verified 2026 ↗What you can hunt in Oregon
Green = no draw needed (the fast way in).OIL = once-in-a-lifetime.
Roosevelt ElkDrawOTC
West-side elk — controlled hunts plus general-season coast tags.
Rocky Mtn ElkDrawOTC
East-side elk — controlled rifle hunts, general archery in many units.
Mule DeerDraw
East-side buck hunts are all controlled draw.
Black-tailed DeerOTCDraw
West-side general season plus controlled hunts.
PronghornDraw
Controlled draw only — few tags, long point creep.
Black BearOTCDraw
General fall seasons plus controlled spring hunts.
CougarOTC
General season with a statewide quota.
Rocky Mtn GoatOILDraw
Once-in-a-lifetime.
Bighorn SheepOILDraw
Once-in-a-lifetime.
TurkeyOTCDraw
General spring tags plus some controlled hunts.
By nonresident draw odds
Best odds first
| WMU | Hunt | NR odds | Success | Public land |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddle Mtn | 210X · Saddle Mtn Unit No. 1 | 100% | 30% | 5% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210Y · Saddle Mtn Unit No. 2 | 100% | 30% | 5% |
| Wilson | 212T3 · Wilson Unit No. 3 Youth | 100% | 65% | 1.7% |
| Mckenzie | 219B · Pengra | 100% | 13% | 60.2% |
| Indigo | 221E · Mosby | 100% | 17% | 68.1% |
| Tioga | 224Y · Tioga Unit No. 2 | 100% | 23% | 24.6% |
| Powers | 226X · Powers Unit No. 1 | 100% | 29% | 46.7% |
| Sprague | 233Y · Sprague No. 2 | 100% | 6% | 73.7% |
| Ochoco | 237T2 · Ochoco Unit No. 2 Youth | 100% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Metolius | 239R · Metolius Unit Bow | 100% | 15% | 66.2% |
| Hood | 242 · Hood Private | 100% | 18% | 63.8% |
| Fossil | 245C · Fossil Unit | 100% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Fossil | 245D · Fossil Private | 100% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Fossil | 245T · Fossil Unit Youth | 100% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Fossil | 245X · Fossil Unit No. 1 | 100% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Heppner | 248A2 · Heppner Unit No. 2 | 100% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Ukiah | 249A2 · Ukiah Unit No. 2 | 100% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Sumpter | 251C · S Sumpter | 100% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Sumpter | 251M1 · Elkhorn No. 1 Muzzleloader | 100% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Starkey | 252A2 · Starkey No. 2 | 100% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Starkey | 252B1 · Starkey Private | 100% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Catherine Creek | 253B · Mt Harris | 100% | 28% | 23.4% |
| Catherine Creek | 253M · Catherine Creek Unit Muzzleloader | 100% | 28% | 23.4% |
| Mount Emily | 254R2 · Mt Emily Unit Bow No. 2 | 100% | 28% | 44% |
| Walla Walla | 255R2 · Walla Walla Unit Bow No. 2 | 100% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Walla Walla | 255Y2 · Walla Walla Unit No. 3 | 100% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Sled Springs | 257R2 · Sled Springs Unit Bow No. 2 | 100% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Sled Springs | 257Y · Sled Springs Unit No. 2 | 100% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Minam | 260T · Minam Unit Youth | 100% | 14% | 73.4% |
| Minam | 260X · Minam Unit No. 1 | 100% | 14% | 73.4% |
| Minam | 260Y · Minam Unit No. 2 | 100% | 14% | 73.4% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264A1 · Lookout Mtn Unit No. 1 | 100% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264T · Lookout Mtn Unit Youth | 100% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Beulah | 265A3 · W Beulah No. 3 | 100% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Malheur River | 266C · S Malheur Rvr | 100% | 20% | 62% |
| Silver Lake | 276X · Silver Lake Unit No. 1 | 100% | 3% | 60.4% |
| Silver Lake | 276Y · Silver Lake Unit No. 2 | 100% | 3% | 60.4% |
| Wenaha | 256Y2 · Wenaha Unit No. 3 | 87.5% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Wenaha | 256R2 · Wenaha Unit Bow No. 2 | 85.7% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Beulah | 265B3 · E Beulah No. 3 | 79.2% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Tioga | 224X · Tioga Unit No. 1 | 78% | 23% | 24.6% |
| Fossil | 245A2 · N Fossil Private No. 2 | 76.9% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Beulah | 265B1 · E Beulah No. 1 | 74.1% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Ochoco | 237A · Ochoco Private | 70.6% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Siuslaw | 220 · Siuslaw Unit | 66.7% | 39% | 37.9% |
| White River | 241C · White Rvr Private | 66.7% | 12% | 38.4% |
| Murderers Creek | 246 · Murderers Cr Unit | 66.7% | 17% | 65% |
| Mount Emily | 254Y2 · Mt Emily Unit No. 3 | 64.7% | 28% | 44% |
| Snake River | 259R · Snake Rvr Unit Bow | 64.7% | 33% | 93.8% |
| Starkey | 252B2 · Starkey | 64% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Grizzly | 238A · Grizzly Grassland | 63.2% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Northside | 247 · Northside Unit | 62.5% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Wenaha | 256X · Wenaha Unit No. 1 | 62.5% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Beulah | 265B2 · E Beulah No. 2 | 61.1% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Chesnimnus | 258X · Chesnimnus Unit No. 1 | 59.4% | 34% | 49.1% |
| Ukiah | 249R2 · Ukiah Unit Bow No. 2 | 59.1% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Heppner | 247D1 · Northside - Ritter Private No.1 | 58% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Silvies | 272R · Silves Unit Bow | 57.4% | 15% | 64.2% |
| Sixes | 225T · Sixes Unit Youth | 57.1% | 50% | 27.9% |
| Fossil | 245B2 · S Fossil Private No. 2 | 57.1% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Sled Springs | 257B · Flora | 57.1% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Beulah | 265R · W Beulah Bow | 56.8% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Desolation | 250X · Desolation Unit | 56.7% | 15% | 86.4% |
| Pine Creek | 262 · Pine Cr Unit | 56.2% | 26% | 76% |
| Malheur River | 266B · N Malheur Rvr | 55.6% | 20% | 62% |
| Murderers Creek | 246B · E Murderers Cr | 54.5% | 17% | 65% |
| Heppner | 248B2 · Ritter No. 2 | 53.3% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Sumpter | 251A · N Sumpter | 53.2% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Chesnimnus | 258Y · Chesnimnus Unit No. 2 | 52.8% | 34% | 49.1% |
| Interstate | 275X · Interstate Unit No. 1 | 52.4% | 8% | 55.6% |
| Walla Walla | 255X · Walla Walla Unit No. 1 | 52% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Mount Emily | 254X · Mt Emily Unit No. 1 | 51% | 28% | 44% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210C1 · Upper Nehalem No. 1 | 50% | 30% | 5% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210D · Lower Columbia | 50% | 30% | 5% |
| Trask | 214A1 · W Trask No. 1 | 50% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Alsea | 218A · N Alsea | 50% | 54% | 37.2% |
| Sixes | 225A · N Sixes | 50% | 50% | 27.9% |
| Klamath Falls | 232X · Klamath Falls Unit No. 1 | 50% | 2% | 35.6% |
| Sumpter | 251D1 · Elkhorn Mtn No. 1 | 50% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Silvies | 272A · Silvies Unit | 50% | 15% | 64.2% |
| Beulah | 265A1 · W Beulah No. 1 | 48.7% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Fossil | 245Y · Fossil Unit No. 2 | 47.6% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Sumpter | 251B2 · S Sumpter No. 2 | 46.2% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Chesnimnus | 258R · Chesnimnus Unit Bow | 45.7% | 34% | 49.1% |
| Tioga | 224M · Tioga Unit Muzzleloader | 45% | 23% | 24.6% |
| Grizzly | 238B1 · Grizzly Private No. 1 | 44.4% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Desolation | 250R1 · Desolation Unit Bow | 43.4% | 15% | 86.4% |
| Sumpter | 251R · N Sumpter Bow | 43.3% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Northside | 247R · Northside Unit Bow | 42.9% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Snake River | 259X · Snake Rvr Unit No. 1 | 42.9% | 33% | 93.8% |
| Beulah | 265C · Bully Cr | 42.1% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Northside | 247A1 · Northside Private No. 1 | 41.7% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Heppner | 248C · Monument | 40% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Northside | 247B · W Northside | 38.5% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Fossil | 245B1 · S Fossil Private No. 1 | 37.5% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Ukiah | 249D · North Ukiah | 37.5% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Fossil | 245A1 · N Fossil Private No. 1 | 36.8% | 33% | 14.9% |
| Malheur River | 266X · N Malheur Rvr No. 1 | 35.7% | 20% | 62% |
| Keating | 263X · Keating Unit | 34.5% | 23% | 57.3% |
| Alsea | 218B · S Alsea | 33.3% | 54% | 37.2% |
| Maury | 236R · Maury Unit Bow | 33.3% | 13% | 54.1% |
| Maury | 236T · Maury Unit Youth | 33.3% | 13% | 54.1% |
| Murderers Creek | 246R · Murderers Cr Unit Bow | 33.3% | 17% | 65% |
| Catherine Creek | 253A · S Catherine Cr | 33.3% | 28% | 23.4% |
| Catherine Creek | 253T · Catherine Cr Unit Youth | 33.3% | 28% | 23.4% |
| Silvies | 272Y · Silvies Unit No. 2 | 33.3% | 15% | 64.2% |
| Warner | 274Y · Warner Unit No. 2 | 33.3% | 13% | 66.8% |
| Northside | 247X · Northside Unit | 32% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Northside | 247C · E Northside | 31.7% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Sumpter | 251B1 · S Sumpter No. 1 | 31.6% | 23% | 45.4% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264Y · Lookout Mtn Unit No. 2 | 31.6% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Malheur River | 266Y · N Malheur Rvr No. 2 | 31.5% | 20% | 62% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264A2 · Lookout Mtn Unit No. 2 | 30.8% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Silvies | 272X · Silvies Unit No. 1 | 30.8% | 15% | 64.2% |
| Heppner | 248R2 · Heppner Unit Bow No. 2 | 29.8% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Sled Springs | 257X · Sled Springs Unit No. 1 | 29.3% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Pine Creek | 262X · Pine Cr Unit | 29.3% | 26% | 76% |
| Interstate | 275Y · Interstate Unit No. 2 | 27.8% | 8% | 55.6% |
| Starkey | 252R · Starkey Bow | 27.5% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Ukiah | 249R1 · Ukiah Unit Bow No. 1 | 26.2% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Malheur River | 266R · N Malheur Rvr Bow | 26.2% | 20% | 62% |
| Scappoose | 211 · Scappoose Unit | 25% | 70% | 3.9% |
| Starkey | 252C1 · Starkey Experimental Forest No. 1 | 25% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Minam | 260M · Eagle Cap Muzzleloader | 25% | 14% | 73.4% |
| Imnaha | 261T · Imnaha Unit Youth | 25% | 27% | 74.5% |
| Silvies | 272T · Silvies Unit Youth | 25% | 15% | 64.2% |
| Ochoco | 237R · Ochoco Unit Bow | 24.3% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Northside | 247A2 · Northside Private No. 2 | 22.7% | 22% | 40.3% |
| Sixes | 225Y · Sixes Unit No. 2 | 22.2% | 50% | 27.9% |
| Klamath Falls | 232Y · Klamath Falls Unit No. 2 | 22.2% | 2% | 35.6% |
| Warner | 274X · Warner Unit No. 1 | 22.2% | 13% | 66.8% |
| Grizzly | 238B2 · Grizzly Private No. 2 | 21.1% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Imnaha | 261X · Imnaha Unit | 20.5% | 27% | 74.5% |
| Alsea | 218C · Central Alsea | 20% | 54% | 37.2% |
| Upper Deschutes | 234R · Upper Deschutes Unit Bow | 20% | 11% | 77.3% |
| Grizzly | 238X · Grizzly Unit No. 1 | 20% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Grizzly | 238Y · Grizzly Unit No. 2 | 20% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Murderers Creek | 246A · W Murderers Cr | 20% | 17% | 65% |
| Ukiah | 249C · South Ukiah | 20% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264X · Lookout Mtn Unit No. 1 | 20% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Murderers Creek | 246X · Murderers Cr Unit | 18.9% | 17% | 65% |
| Heppner | 248T · Heppner Unit Youth | 18.2% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Chetco | 227T · Chetco Unit Youth | 16.7% | 43% | 81.7% |
| Maury | 236X · Maury Unit No. 1 | 16.7% | 13% | 54.1% |
| White River | 241A · The Dalles Watershed | 16.7% | 12% | 38.4% |
| Keating | 263 · Keating Unit | 16.7% | 23% | 57.3% |
| Catherine Creek | 253X · Catherine Cr Unit | 16.1% | 28% | 23.4% |
| Ukiah | 249A1 · Ukiah Unit No. 1 | 15.9% | 22% | 32.4% |
| Sled Springs | 257R1 · Sled Springs Unit Bow No. 1 | 15.2% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Heppner | 248A1 · Heppner Unit No. 1 | 14.8% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Heppner | 248R1 · Heppner Unit Bow No. 1 | 14.8% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210A1 · W Saddle Mtn No. 1 | 14.3% | 30% | 5% |
| Heppner | 248D · Heppner Unit | 14.3% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Sled Springs | 257C · Sled Springs Unit | 14.3% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210A2 · W Saddle Mtn No. 2 | 12.5% | 30% | 5% |
| Owyhee | 267 · Owyhee Unit | 11.8% | 35% | 73.5% |
| Whitehorse | 268 · Whitehorse Unit | 11.8% | 45% | 87.9% |
| Maury | 236Y · Maury Unit No. 2 | 11.1% | 13% | 54.1% |
| Wenaha | 256A · Bartlett Bench | 11.1% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Sixes | 225X · Sixes Unit No. 1 | 10.9% | 50% | 27.9% |
| Chetco | 227Y · Chetco Unit No. 2 | 10.5% | 43% | 81.7% |
| Starkey | 252A1 · Starkey No. 1 | 9.9% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Lookout Mtn | 264A3 · Lookout Mtn Unit No. 3 | 8.8% | 54% | 37.8% |
| Starkey | 252T1 · Starkey Youth | 8.3% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Keno | 231T · Keno Unit Youth | 7.7% | 6% | 44.3% |
| Sixes | 225M · Sixes Muzzleloader | 6.7% | 50% | 27.9% |
| Chetco | 227X · Chetco Unit No. 1 | 6.2% | 43% | 81.7% |
| Ochoco | 237X · Ochoco Unit No. 1 | 5.4% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Ochoco | 237Y · Ochoco Unit No. 2 | 5.2% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Powers | 226Y · Powers Unit No. 2 | 5% | 29% | 46.7% |
| Snake River | 259Y · Snake Rvr Unit No. 2 | 5% | 33% | 93.8% |
| Imnaha | 261 · Imnaha Unit | 4.2% | 27% | 74.5% |
| Powers | 226R · Powers Unit Bow | 1.5% | 29% | 46.7% |
| Mount Emily | 254R1 · Mt Emily Unit Bow No. 1 | 0.4% | 28% | 44% |
| Wenaha | 256R1 · Wenaha Unit Bow No. 1 | 0.4% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Wenaha | 256Y1 · Wenaha Unit No. 2 | 0.3% | 21% | 69.2% |
| Mount Emily | 254Y1 · Mt Emily Unit No. 2 | 0.2% | 28% | 44% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210 · Saddle Mtn Unit | 0% | 30% | 5% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210B1 · Central Saddle Mtn No. 1 | 0% | 30% | 5% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210B2 · Central Saddle Mtn No. 2 | 0% | 30% | 5% |
| Saddle Mtn | 210T · Saddle Mtn Unit Youth | 0% | 30% | 5% |
| Scappoose | 211B · N Central Scappoose | 0% | 70% | 3.9% |
| Scappoose | 211T · Scappoose Unit Youth | 0% | 70% | 3.9% |
| Wilson | 212 · Wilson Unit | 0% | 65% | 1.7% |
| Wilson | 212A1 · Miami-Nehalem No. 1 | 0% | 65% | 1.7% |
| Wilson | 212B · Buick Canyon | 0% | 65% | 1.7% |
| Trask | 214 · Trask Unit | 0% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Trask | 214A2 · W Trask No. 2 | 0% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Trask | 214B1 · Central Trask No. 1 | 0% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Trask | 214B2 · Central Trask No. 2 | 0% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Trask | 214M · NE Trask Muzzleloader | 0% | 56% | 23.9% |
| Santiam | 216B · SW Santiam | 0% | 22% | 60.4% |
| Stott Mtn | 217A · W Stott Mtn | 0% | 45% | 21.1% |
| Indigo | 221A · NW Indigo | 0% | 17% | 68.1% |
| Melrose | 223A · Melrose Unit | 0% | 52% | 15.3% |
| Tioga | 224C · Tioga Private | 0% | 23% | 24.6% |
| Tioga | 224T · Tioga Unit Youth | 0% | 23% | 24.6% |
| Powers | 226A · Powers Private | 0% | 29% | 46.7% |
| Powers | 226T · Powers Unit Youth | 0% | 29% | 46.7% |
| Rogue | 230T1 · Rogue Unit Youth | 0% | 16% | 56.7% |
| Ochoco | 237T1 · Ochoco Unit No. 1 Youth | 0% | 26% | 53.5% |
| Grizzly | 238T · Grizzly Unit Youth | 0% | 24% | 27.3% |
| Heppner | 248M · Pole Cr Muzzleloader | 0% | 30% | 33.9% |
| Desolation | 250T · Desolation Unit Youth | 0% | 15% | 86.4% |
| Starkey | 252C2 · Starkey Experimental Forest No. 2 | 0% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Starkey | 252T2 · Glass Hill Youth | 0% | 22% | 62.7% |
| Walla Walla | 255A · Mill Cr Watershed | 0% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Walla Walla | 255R1 · Walla Walla Unit Bow No. 1 | 0% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Walla Walla | 255Y1 · Walla Walla Unit No. 2 | 0% | 25% | 32.8% |
| Sled Springs | 257T · Sled Springs Unit Youth | 0% | 26% | 20.7% |
| Chesnimnus | 258T · Chesnimnus Unit Youth | 0% | 34% | 49.1% |
| Snake River | 259T · Snake Rvr Unit Youth | 0% | 33% | 93.8% |
| Beulah | 265T · Beulah Unit Youth | 0% | 23% | 55.7% |
| Malheur River | 266T · N Malheur Rvr Youth | 0% | 20% | 62% |
| Wagontire | 273A · North Wagontire | 0% | 15% | 82.4% |
Draw odds here are real (ODFW 2025 points summaries — NR drawn ÷ NR applicants per hunt). Harvest success is real (FINAL 2024 summaries, pooled per WMU across all weapons). Public-land % is real: each WMU's official ODFW boundary intersected with USGS PAD-US federal public land in an equal-area projection — Oregon's state forests and walk-in private timber aren't counted, so real access often runs higher on the west side.